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Daily Dose: 02 February 2026

Daily Dose: 02 February 2026

G morning,

  

On the wires…

  • Iran warns of regional conflict if US attacks
  • Bad Bunny wins album of the year at the Grammy’s, first for a Spanish- language album
  • Catherine O’Hara, star of Schitts Creek, dead at 71
  • Epstein files reveal CT as focus for scouting models
  • Leon Levy, last surviving signatory of the Freedom Charter, dies at 96
  • Alcaraz wins Australian Open and career grand slam, all at 22

Quote of the day

 

“If you want peace then you must struggle for social justice”―  Chris Hani

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 The indicators

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Indicator 

Price

Change

Ranges

 

Indicator

Price 

Change

$ / R

16.30

+39

16.15 – 16.40

Gold $

4 439

-717

€ / R

19.32

+35

19.20 – 19.50

Brent $

66

-2

£ / R

22.28

+40

22.10 – 22.50

DOW

48 892

-0.36%

AUD/R

11.26

+14

11.20 – 11.40

JSE Top 40

112 228

-4.52%

€ / $

1.1849

-0.0070

 

$ index*

97.04

+0.56

UST 10 Year

4.22%

-0.05%

  

Bitcoin $

76 364

-6 149

Source: Reuters/ Investing.com

*The $ Dollar Index measures the value of the US Dollar against a basket of 6 foreign currencies

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Currency crackdown…

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 FXOne would like to thank Warrick Butler from Standard Bank for his valued contribution to the currency comment this morning.

 

Good morning

Did you hear they arrested the Devil? They got him on possession.

Current USDZAR level: 16.2350/16.2450

Rand range last week: 15.6500-16.2100 and NY Friday close: 16.1250

The elevator finally fell hard with a just about everyone on board, including this writer. Ouch. The crowded PGM and short dollar trade has unwound in two very painful days, and I am not sure it is going to slow down or even stop just yet. It is the proverbial sheep through the gate scenario that I always warn about and end up being on of them scrambling for the exit. False break city on my two weekly charts that I have been following closely for the last few months. Think of a Tarantino movie scene with blood and guts everywhere, or just another real-life cartel massacre in Mexico.

Thrown into the mix was a cautious SARB last week choosing the path of least resistance and holding rates steady. Did they maybe know something we didn’t. The Rand has weakened 4% since the low print on Thursday just after the MPC decision. Not nearly as much as Gold, Silver et al but still a fair whack on what was pretty much an assured one-way bet.

It is going to take a brave man to stick his hand out to buy commodities now. But you never know, Iran and US find themselves staring down the barrel again and a lot of this haemorrhaging can reverse quick time too, it is that erratic.

Bit of a level this morning at 16.2000 and going to be interesting to see if we close the day below or above this level. After what has been an exceptional move since 18.3500 in August 2025, a correction is par for the course, we just didn’t expect it to happen in 2 days, well certainly I didn’t.

Good luck and hope you have a great week ahead

Support levels – 16.2000, 16.00/15.95, 15.8500, 15.6500, 15.5000

Resistance levels – 16.5000, 16.8000, 17.0000, 17.2000, 17.3500

 

 

 

 

 

 

On the radar…

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  • CHF – Retail sales
  • EUR – Manufacturing PMI
  • GBP – S&P Global manufacturing PMI

·     ZAR – Manufacturing PMI

·     ZAR – Vehicle sales

·     USD – ISM manufacturing PMI

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Did you know?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Drakensberg mountains were given their name by the Voortrekkers in the 1800’s, who said the mountains resembled a dragon’s back.

                     

 

                                           

 

Have a fantastic week,

Wayne Rosenberg

 

 

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